Sinner and Swiatek favourites for French Open success

Jannik Sinner and Iga Swiatek are the favourites in their respective draws to triumph at the French Open.

That is according to Stats Perform's Win Probability Model, which saw Swiatek regain her Roland-Garros crown in 20 per cent of simulations, ahead of nearest challenger Elena Rybakina (nine per cent).

The Pole is aiming to become the third player in the Open Era to win the women's singles title at Roland-Garros for three consecutive years, after Monica Seles (1990-92) and Justine Henin (2005-07).

Swiatek claimed a third women’s singles title at Roland-Garros from five appearances in the main draw at the event. In the Open Era, only Margaret Court (three out of four, 75 per cent) holds a better title win rate from main draws entered at the tournament.

20 - According to Stats Perform's Win Probability Model, Iga Swiatek (20%) is considered the favourite to win the Women's Singles title at Roland Garros. Prediction. #RolandGarros | @rolandgarros @WTA @WTA_insider pic.twitter.com/q9oLhKhfJL

— OptaAce (@OptaAce) May 26, 2024

In the men's competition, Sinner is the narrow favourite in Stats Perform's predictions, with his 13 per cent chance just clear of Novak Djokovic's 10.

Sinner has the highest winning percentage of any player so far in 2024 (93.3 per cent, 28-2), though third-favourite Carlos Alcaraz still has a six per cent likelihood of winning in Paris.

World number three Alcaraz has yet to reach a French Open final, but is the youngest player in the Open Era to reach the round of 16 at seven consecutive majors.

Meanwhile, Djokovic is out to overtake Court's record of 24 majors and become the outright leader for grand slam titles across men's and women's singles events.

Aged 36 years and 20 days, Djokovic became the oldest winner of the men's singles at Roland-Garros in the Open Era when he triumphed last year.

13 - According to Stats Perform’s Win Probability Model ahead of the opening day of main draw play, Jannik Sinner (13%) is the favourite to win the Men's Singles title at Roland Garros. Prediction. #RolandGarros | @rolandgarros @atptour @ATPMediaInfo pic.twitter.com/vfRdKeOEqH

— OptaAce (@OptaAce) May 26, 2024