Women's Super League predictions: Champions League race hots up with two games left

Chelsea clinched their sixth consecutive title on Wednesday with a 1-0 win over Manchester United, with Sonia Bompastor leading them to glory in her maiden campaign.

Crystal Palace were also relegated back to the Championship last weekend after a 7-1 thumping at the hands of West Ham.

The European places are yet to be decided, though, with a lot on the line in the derby clash at Old Trafford between Man Utd and Manchester City on Sunday.

The Merseyside derby is also taking place at Anfield, while champions Chelsea face Tottenham in an all-London clash.

But who does the Opta supercomputer think will be the winners and losers on the penultimate weekend of the season?

Liverpool have responded well to their FA Cup semi-final heartbreak against Chelsea, going unbeaten in their last two WSL matches.

They are expected to continue that run on Sunday, with the Opta supercomputer giving them a 51.9% chance of victory compared to Everton's 23.6%.

However, Liverpool have not won any of their last six WSL meetings with Everton (D2 L4), since a 3-1 home triumph in May 2019.

And following their 1-0 win at Goodison Park back in November, Everton are aiming to complete a league double over the Reds in the top flight for just the second time, previously doing so in 2012.

Only Leicester City (0) have won fewer WSL away games than Everton (one) this season, but the Toffees will feel they have a decent chance, with Liverpool conceding four goals across their last two home matches.

Man Utd currently occupy third spot, and if they avoid defeat on Sunday, the final Champions League place will be theirs. A Man City win, however, would see the drama roll on to the final matchday.

United are expected to hold on to a top-three finish by the supercomputer, with a 78.7% chance of doing so. City, meanwhile, are given just a 21.2% chance of leapfrogging them.

The Red Devils have already won two of their three games against City in all competitions this season (L1), as many wins as they managed across their previous 13 Manchester derbies prior to this campaign (W2 D4 L7).

And United have won five of their seven WSL games played at Old Trafford (L2), beating West Ham 3-0 in their only game at the venue this season. They did lose this exact fixture at the stadium in November 2023, though.

City have lost just two of their 10 league meetings with United (W5 D3); one of those defeats did come in the reverse fixture, when they were 3-0 behind after 36 minutes - Ella Toone scored a hat-trick that day.

They have been in stellar form on the road in 2025 (W4 D1), after losing their final two such games of 2024, but United have only lost once at home this season – last time out against Chelsea.

The Red Devils are slight favourites for this one at 41.7%, but City should not be counted out, as they won 31.6% of the supercomputer's pre-match simulations.

Palace's fate for next season has already been sealed, and they do not look likely to sign off with a win in their final WSL home match for at least a year.

Their first-ever win in the WSL came on matchday three away to Leicester (2-0), but they are given just a 34.7% chance of completing a league double over the Foxes.

Leicester's chances are only slightly better, though, at 39.4%, perhaps due to the fact they have never won a match in London in the competition in 16 attempts (D1 L15).

Leicester are yet to win an away game in the top flight this term (D2 L8) and could become just the fourth team to go through a full 22-game season without doing so, after Bristol City (2020-21), Liverpool and Reading (both 2022-23).

Palace, who have conceded 58 goals this season, have lost each of their last three league games, all by a 4+ goal margin, giving Leicester a chance.

In the end, though, it may prove hard to split them, with a draw assigned a 25.9% probability.

Fresh off the back of winning their ninth WSL title, Chelsea are back in action against Tottenham and are overwhelming favourites to clinch a win at 79.4%.

The likelihood of a Spurs win sits at a lowly 9% as they have lost all 11 of their WSL games against the reigning champions, with each of the last 10 defeats coming against Chelsea.

The Blues are aiming to remain unbeaten away from home through a full campaign for the fifth time, last doing so in 2020-21. They also have not lost their final away league game in any of the last 10 seasons (W9 D1).

Overall, their unbeaten streak stretches back 23 top-flight matches (W20 D3), and they became the first team to go without defeat in their first 20 games in a single campaign with Wednesday's win over Man Utd.

And unfortunately for Spurs, the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has not been a happy hunting ground of late. They have lost their last two at the stadium, having won their three league games there prior.

West Ham are one of the form teams in the WSL at the moment, with their recent run resulting in a one-year contract extension for Rehanne Skinner earlier this week.

They are unbeaten in their last five games (W2 D3) and could achieve their longest-ever run without defeat in the competition this weekend.

West Ham are expected to triumph on Sunday, with the supercomputer rating their chances at 48.1%, compared to Aston Villa's 26%.

If they do win, it will be their first triumph over Villa since October 2022 (D1 L3 since), and a first-ever at home, with the visitors going unbeaten in their four WSL trips to the Hammers (W2 D2).

Villa, who ended Arsenal's title hopes with a thumping 5-2 home win on Wednesday, have won their last two away league games.

But, West Ham are also coming off the back of a huge victory – their 7-1 thrashing of Palace was their biggest-ever WSL win and also set the record for their best-ever goal return (32) in a single WSL season in the process.

The penultimate matchday of the season concludes on Monday, with Arsenal looking to bounce back from Wednesday's disappointment on the south coast.

And they are expected to do just that, with a 71.1% chance of victory. Brighton (12.8%) have work to do if they want to upset the odds.

That is to be expected, though, as they have lost all six of their home matches against the Gunners in the competition by an aggregate score of 23-0, conceding three or more goals in each defeat.

Overall, Arsenal have won all 13 of their matches against Brighton in the competition, the best 100% win rate one side has over another in the competition.

Arsenal have not lost consecutive league matches in the same campaign since May 2023, and they will be looking to Beth Mead, in particular, to help them avoid doing so.